The 5G market is set to increase rapidly: What does the future hold?

More connected devices, more traffic, and enhanced mobile network performance. Industry giants have revealed their predictions for the future of the 5G network. Read the statistics here and how the EBU and European field trials are taking the technology forwards.

The 5G market is set to increase rapidly: What does the future hold?
The 5G market is set to increase rapidly: What does the future hold?

According to Cisco, 5G connections will represent over three percent of total mobile connections by 2022. The company estimates that there will be more than 422 million global 5G devices and M2M connections and 5G will account for nearly 12% of global mobile data traffic.

By 2022, the average 5G connection (22 GB/month) will generate about three times more traffic than the average 4G connection (8 GB/month). Almost 10% of wireless connections in North America will be based on 5G, which is more than twice the projected rate for Asia.

Cisco estimates that mobile traffic will represent nearly 20% of global IP traffic by 2022 and will reach 930 exabytes annually. That’s nearly 113 times more than all global mobile traffic generated just ten years prior, in 2012.

The forecast also anticipates ongoing efforts by mobile carriers around the world to enhance mobile network performance. The average global mobile network speeds will increase more than three-fold from 8.7 Mbps in 2017 to 28.5 Mbps by 2022. Average mobile speeds vary significantly by geographic locations as 5G adoption begins to ramp up in some regions.

European 5G field trials

A major European 5G field trial is being established in Germany as part of the Bavarian research project ‘5G TODAY’. The project is funded by the Bavarian Research Foundation. Under the leadership of the Institute for Broadcast Technology (IRT), project partners Kathrein and Rohde & Schwarz are investigating large-scale TV broadcasts in the FeMBMS mode over 5G Broadcast networks. The project is supported by Telefónica Germany and Bayerischer Rundfunk, the Bavarian state broadcaster, who is providing two HPHT sites near Munich for this ground-breaking field trial.

The new 5G network standard is a key technology for the future when vehicles become highly automated and devices are networked with each other in the Internet of Things. 5G also offers great potential for efficient distribution of media content. The introduction of 5G will open up a worldwide market with millions of smartphones and tablets acting as potential TV receivers able to combine live TV services, media libraries, social networks and many other media services.

The EBU’s position on 5G Broadcasting

The EBU has offered three different scenarios for the development of 5G. The simplest case is where 5G services are simply an additional delivery system alongside existing systems with some niche applications such as delivery to (private/in-home) VR headsets. However, the timescale for commercial deployment of public 5G video services is not yet clear due to the cost and complexity of the infrastructure needed.

A second scenario envisages a distribution infrastructure based solely around the different 5G capabilities, offering a potentially seamless link with future 5G studio infrastructures. End user delivery could still be based on conventional broadcast or broadband delivery, moving to 5G delivery as infrastructure rollout continues.

Thirdly, the EBU envisages that at some point in the future 5G could completely replace existing distribution infrastructure and offer a completely seamless user experience across all types of content and display devices.

5G broadcast for mobile TV in a nutshell – eBook

Rohde & Schwarz has produced an easy-to-read eBook explains how the integration of the latest 5G mobile telecommunications technologies are a perfect partner for digital terrestrial television (DTT) and can put it on a completely new and significant growth path.

Posted by Chris Dickinson, technology journalist and editor of the Always On blog. March 22, 2019.

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